Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
66.44% ( -0.06) | 18.35% ( 0.1) | 15.21% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.27% ( -0.6) | 34.73% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.31% ( -0.68) | 56.69% ( 0.68) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.28% ( -0.18) | 9.71% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.64% ( -0.42) | 32.36% ( 0.41) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.27% ( -0.44) | 35.73% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.5% ( -0.46) | 72.5% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.4% Total : 66.44% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |