Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.