MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 11:52:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Burnley logo

Luton
1 - 4
Burnley

Chong (55')
Nelson (51'), Chong (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brownhill (6'), Odobert (37'), O'Shea (72'), Vitinho (80')
Trafford (43'), Pires (59'), Cullen (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Burnley
Sunday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Burnley

Burnley can continue a fine record against Luton in their Championship opener, as their hosts are injury-hit and have been slow to find new recruits; the Clarets, meanwhile, have a deep squad from which to choose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBurnley
44.72% (0.63200000000001 0.63) 24.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 31.16% (-0.652 -0.65)
Both teams to score 59.32% (-0.39 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (-0.374 -0.37)42.95% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.372 -0.37)65.35% (0.372 0.37)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.117 0.12)19.4% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.194 0.19)51.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)26.4% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.794 -0.79)61.56% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 44.72%
    Burnley 31.16%
    Draw 24.11%
Luton TownDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 44.72%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.16%

How you voted: Luton vs Burnley

Luton Town
32.2%
Draw
17.0%
Burnley
50.8%
264
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Amdouni (36')
Trafford (90+3')
Morris (90+2')
Oct 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Luton
1-2
Burnley
Adebayo (84')
Brown (36'), Burke (59'), Nakamba (90+3'), Chong (90+2')
Foster (45+2'), Bruun Larsen (85')
Roberts (66'), Taylor (90+4')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Luton
0-1
Burnley
Barnes (78' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
Potts (5')
Morris (66')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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