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Lyon
Coupe de France | Semi-Finals
Apr 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
3 - 0
Valenciennes

Lacazette (51' pen., 57'), Orban (75')
Mata (39'), Lacazette (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Woudenberg (73'), Basse (90+5'), Junior (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Lyon and Valenciennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Reims
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Valenciennes

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Valenciennes 0-2 St Etienne
Saturday, March 30 at 2pm in Ligue 2

We said: Lyon 3-0 Valenciennes

 Given how poor their domestic campaign has gone, Valenciennes deserve much credit for their performance at the Coupe de France, though they have not faced many top-class sides to get here. Lyon have been one of the hottest teams in the French top flight this year, and regardless of who plays on Tuesday, we believe even their reserves should be able to handle a side that seem destined to play in the third tier of French football next season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
LyonDrawValenciennes
63.27% (-0.365 -0.37) 20.62% (0.103 0.1) 16.11% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 52.02% (0.268 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.39% (0.052 0.05)43.61% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (0.052 0.05)66% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)13.14% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.2% (-0.183 -0.18)39.81% (0.187 0.19)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89% (0.372 0.37)40.12% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (0.337 0.34)76.76% (-0.333 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 63.26%
    Valenciennes 16.11%
    Draw 20.62%
LyonDrawValenciennes
2-0 @ 10.85% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.73% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 63.26%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.62%
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.11%

How you voted: Lyon vs Valenciennes

Lyon
89.8%
Draw
10.2%
Valenciennes
0.0%
49
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2014 4pm
Valenciennes
1-2
Lyon
Waris (66')
Lala (25'), Ducourtioux (51'), Da Silva (75'), Hamed Doumbia (94')
Da Silva (84')
Gomis (29'), Ferri (69')
Ferri (27'), Vercoutre (81'), Danic (85')
Vercoutre (82')
> Match Report
Nov 23, 2013 7pm
Lyon
1-1
Valenciennes
Gomis (15')
Bisevac (26')
Christophe Bahebeck (65')
Nery (21'), Masuaku (56')
> Match Report
Jan 25, 2013 7.30pm
Valenciennes
0-2
Lyon

Nguette (51')
Fofana (8'), Gomis (28')
Fofana (53'), Malbranque (58'), Bisevac (71')
> Match Report
Sep 1, 2012 4pm
Lyon
3-2
Valenciennes
Grenier (66'), Bastos (18'), Gomis (21' pen.)
Reveillere (42')
Do Nascimento Silva (12'), Pujol (76')
Ducourtioux (21')
May 2, 2012 3pm
Lyon
4-1
Valenciennes
rhs 2.0
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