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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Lyon

Metz
1 - 2
Lyon

Mikautadze (13')
Camara (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lacazette (45+1'), Benrahma (60')
Mata (73'), O'Brien (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Metz
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Nice
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 0-2 Lyon

 Lyon may have lost their dominant streak against a side who used to prove no match for them, but with the form book on their side as well as the return of O'Brien - a towering figure in both boxes - another fun Friday is in store for the Gones faithful. Confidence-depleted and often leaving a lot to be desired at home, Metz should be no match for their reawakaned visitors, who ought to rise into the top 10 of the rankings while speeding up their hosts' return to the second tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawLyon
26.22% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 27.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 46.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.57% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.022999999999996 0.02)58.09% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.018999999999998 0.02)78.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)37.96% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.023 0.02)74.73% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)24.94% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)59.57% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Metz 26.22%
    Lyon 46.59%
    Draw 27.18%
MetzDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 6.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 26.22%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.47%
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.59%

How you voted: Metz vs Lyon

Metz
16.1%
Draw
8.0%
Lyon
75.9%
87
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 11
Lyon
1-1
Metz
Alvero (84')
Diomande (19')
Jallow (77')
Van Den Kerkhof (88')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 36
Metz
3-2
Lyon
Pajot (27'), Lamkel Ze (40'), Boulaya (90')
Niakate (70'), Traore (74'), de Preville (88')
Dembele (43', 84')
Ndombele (86'), Dubois (90+2')
Mendes (68')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Lyon
1-1
Metz
Lukeba (56')
Caqueret (30'), Da Silva (39')
Traore (59')
Jemerson (34'), Maiga (68'), Salif Mbengue (84')
> Preview
Jan 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Lyon
0-1
Metz

Dubois (27')
Leya Iseka (90')
Boye (27'), Centonze (27'), Kouyate (86'), Leya Iseka (90')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 13
Metz
1-3
Lyon
Boulaya (76')
Sarr (29'), Antonetti (55')
Boye (87')
Depay (17'), Toko Ekambi (47', 60')
Cherki (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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