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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lyon

Lorient
0 - 2
Lyon

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tagliafico (52'), Balde (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-3 Lens
Sunday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Lyon

 Prone to shipping goals on the road - failing to keep a clean sheet in their last four away matches - a Lyon side who should be ruing the absence of Lacazette once again could be in for a rough ride against a resurgent Lorient team. Victories against Les Merlus have been hard to come by for the visitors in recent times too, and with Bamba in the form of his life while Gift Orban still waits to open his Ligue 1 account, we can envisage Le Bris's team snatching a point from Saturday's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawLyon
19.92% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.87% (0.0030000000000001 0) 57.21% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)47.28% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34%74.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)16.28% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)45.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 19.92%
    Lyon 57.2%
    Draw 22.86%
LorientDrawLyon
1-0 @ 5.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.27%
2-0 @ 2.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.55%
3-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 19.92%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 11.19%
0-2 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-3 @ 6.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-4 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01%
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 57.2%

How you voted: Lorient vs Lyon

Lorient
32.4%
Draw
44.1%
Lyon
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
3-3
Lorient
Nuamah (21'), Lacazette (22', 41' pen.)
Junior Kroupi (16', 54'), Yongwa (79')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 26
Lyon
0-0
Lorient
> Preview
Sep 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Lorient
3-1
Lyon
Le Fee (6'), Moffi (33'), Ouattara (49')
Lacazette (28')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Lorient
1-4
Lyon
Moffi (57')
Monconduit (32')
Faivre (5', 78'), Dembele (26'), Toko Ekambi (59')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
1-1
Lorient
Toko Ekambi (50')
Dubois (67')
Palmieri (15')
Lauriente (20')
Abergel (28'), Lemoine (61')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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