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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 33.5% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win is 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
41.25% ( 0.05) | 25.24% ( 0.36) | 33.5% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( -1.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.76% ( -1.72) | 47.24% ( 1.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.53% ( -1.62) | 69.47% ( 1.62) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( -0.72) | 22.78% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.52% ( -1.08) | 56.48% ( 1.08) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.98% ( -1.08) | 27.02% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.62% ( -1.43) | 62.38% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.25% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Stuttgart | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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