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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Mainz
vs.
Hoffenheim

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-3 Mainz
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Hoffenheim
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League

We say: Mainz 05 1-1 Hoffenheim

Mainz could start slowly given they may not be familiar with Hoffenheim's style of play under Ilzer, but it is difficult to overlook the visitors' poor record on the road. While the hosts might not win on Sunday, Hoffenheim proved on Thursday that they are still vulnerable defensively, and it would not be surprising if the spoils were shared at Mewa Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 33.5% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win is 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawHoffenheim
41.25% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 25.24% (0.359 0.36) 33.5% (-0.411 -0.41)
Both teams to score 56.35% (-1.364 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.76% (-1.722 -1.72)47.24% (1.718 1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (-1.622 -1.62)69.47% (1.618 1.62)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (-0.723 -0.72)22.78% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.52% (-1.08 -1.08)56.48% (1.076 1.08)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (-1.076 -1.08)27.02% (1.073 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (-1.428 -1.43)62.38% (1.425 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 41.25%
    Hoffenheim 33.5%
    Draw 25.24%
Mainz 05DrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 9.11% (0.454 0.45)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.197 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.25%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.332 0.33)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.5%

Who will win Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Hoffenheim?

Mainz 05
Draw
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
57.1%
Draw
31.4%
Hoffenheim
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Mainz
4-1
Hoffenheim
Burkardt (47'), Mwene (51'), Gruda (63'), Onisiwo (88')
Kaderabek (19')
Promel (39'), Kabak (83')
Nov 26, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
1-1
Mainz
Skov (48')
Kramaric (25'), Brooks (30'), Kabak (32'), Promel (44')
Richter (39')
Fernandes (25'), Caci (29'), Richter (68'), Mwene (90+1')
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
4-1
Mainz
Kramaric (53'), Promel (69'), Dabour (80'), Kaderabek (90+2')
Kohr (83')
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Mainz
2-0
Hoffenheim
Jae-sung (79'), Niakhate (83' pen.)

Hubner (17'), Rutter (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Wolfsburg125342519618
8Stuttgart124532321217
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
10Mainz 05Mainz114431814416
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim113351722-512
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim113171520-510
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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