We said: Mauritania 0-2 Algeria
Following a disappointing first two games, Algeria will head into Tuesday's tie looking to pick up a statement result. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing the Desert Foxes to claim a comfortable victory and extend their dominance over Mauritania.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.