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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 26, 2024 at 9.35am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne City
1 - 3
Victory

Nabbout (64')
Ugarkovic (40')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Velupillay (5'), Vergos (13'), Teague (25')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, October 19 at 7am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 0-0 Victory
Friday, October 18 at 9.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
41.64% (-0.162 -0.16) 24.76% (-0.044 -0.04) 33.6% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 58.05% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (0.259 0.26)45.04% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (0.25 0.25)67.39% (-0.253 -0.25)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.033999999999992 0.03)21.65% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (0.052999999999997 0.05)54.77% (-0.055 -0.05)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.248 0.25)25.91% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (0.333 0.33)60.9% (-0.335 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 41.64%
    Melbourne Victory 33.6%
    Draw 24.76%
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.6%

Head to Head
May 5, 2024 8am
Victory
1-1
Melbourne City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Victory win 3-2 on penalties)
Velupillay (88')
Arzani (11'), Fornaroli (50'), Da Silva (115')
Machach (37')
Souprayen (29')
Souprayen (5'), Jeggo (38'), MacLaren (41'), Antonis (90+2'), Good (102')
Good (118')
Apr 6, 2024 9.45am
Gameweek 23
Victory
2-1
Melbourne City
Fornaroli (34' pen.), Da Silva (86')
Arzani (7'), Da Silva (40'), Machach (82'), Fornaroli (90')
Arslan (4')
Talbot (27'), Caputo (66'), Fernandez (83'), Jakolis (90+1')
Feb 17, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Jeggo (15'), Jakolis (71')
Machach (5'), Monge (35'), Geria (71')
Dec 23, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Jakolis (25'), Arslan (28'), Behich (45')
Machach (45'), Miranda (59')
Apr 5, 2023 10am
Gameweek 8
Melbourne City
2-1
Victory
O'Neill (57')
Velupillay (89')
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