MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 22:52:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League
May 5, 2024 at 8am UK
Marvel Stadium
Melbourne City

Victory
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Velupillay (88')
Arzani (11'), Fornaroli (50'), Da Silva (115')
Machach (37')
FT
(aet)
Souprayen (29')
Souprayen (5'), Jeggo (38'), MacLaren (41'), Antonis (90+2'), Good (102')
Good (118')
Victory win 3-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 3-4 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 27 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, April 28 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%).

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
42.14% (0.616 0.62) 22.31% (0.052 0.05) 35.54% (-0.67100000000001 -0.67)
Both teams to score 67.73% (-0.351 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.37% (-0.401 -0.4)32.62% (0.397 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.71% (-0.465 -0.46)54.29% (0.461 0.46)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (0.076999999999998 0.08)16.27% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (0.14 0.14)45.82% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.497 -0.5)19.1% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27% (-0.824 -0.82)50.72% (0.821 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 42.14%
    Melbourne City 35.54%
    Draw 22.31%
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.093 0.09)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.12% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.045 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 42.14%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 7.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.54%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 9.45am
Gameweek 23
Victory
2-1
Melbourne City
Fornaroli (34' pen.), Da Silva (86')
Arzani (7'), Da Silva (40'), Machach (82'), Fornaroli (90')
Arslan (4')
Talbot (27'), Caputo (66'), Fernandez (83'), Jakolis (90+1')
Feb 17, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Jeggo (15'), Jakolis (71')
Machach (5'), Monge (35'), Geria (71')
Dec 23, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Jakolis (25'), Arslan (28'), Behich (45')
Machach (45'), Miranda (59')
Apr 5, 2023 10am
Gameweek 8
Melbourne City
2-1
Victory
O'Neill (57')
Velupillay (89')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Victory
3-2
Melbourne City
Da Silva (7'), Fornaroli (46'), Brillante (77')
Leckie (24', 80')
> Preview
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