Montenegro

1 - 3

Georgia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.