Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Montreal3 - 0Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
41
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
37
We said: CF Montreal 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes
These are the two worst defensive units in MLS, so we expect to see the back of the net bulge a few times, and in the end, we believe the urgency of Montreal, who are still in playoff contention, will defeat a Quakes side that have looked disinterested for weeks. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
51.34% ( 0.03) | 22.18% ( -0.01) | 26.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.84% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
