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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 3.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Vancouver
2 - 0
Earthquakes

Picault (35'), Armstrong (86')
Priso-Mbongue (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Akapo (26'), Skahan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, September 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose have the worst defence in MLS, conceding a league-high 63 goals, and we suspect the Caps' strong transitional game will enable them to find the back of the net several times this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
60.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 20.63%18.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)39.26% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)38.52%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (0.0020000000000095 0)34.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 60.75%
    San Jose Earthquakes 18.61%
    Draw 20.63%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.88%
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.57%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-2 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.49%
5-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 60.75%
1-1 @ 9.55%
2-2 @ 5.27%
0-0 @ 4.33%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.6%
0-2 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 18.61%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Earthquakes

Vancouver Whitecaps
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-2
Vancouver

Wilson (62'), Judd (72'), Morales (80'), Thompson (90+3')
Schopf (74'), Ahmed (86')
Picault (80')
Aug 21, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver
0-1
Earthquakes

Sartini (40'), Gauld (90+1')
Espinoza (43')
Monteiro (39'), Baldisimo (62'), Tsakiris (80'), Brito (82'), Marie (89'), Rodrigues (90+1')
Mar 5, 2023 3.30am
May 15, 2022 12am
rhs 2.0
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