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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Mohamed V
Congo DR national football team

Morocco
1 - 1
Congo DR

Hakimi (6')
Amallah (40'), Ziyech (44'), Adli (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wamangituka (76')
Mbemba (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Morocco and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Tanzania
Wednesday, January 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Congo DR

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Congo DR 1-1 Zambia
Wednesday, January 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Morocco 3-1 Congo DR

 While Congo DR have fared well against Morocco in the past, the Atlas Lions currently have arguably the best squad in the competition on paper, and they are quickly becoming one of the most formidable teams on the continent. This should be a good watch, but we can only see it ending in victory for the tournament favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.44%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
MoroccoDrawCongo DR
52.6% (0.058 0.06) 27.93% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04) 19.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 38.04% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.59% (0.105 0.11)65.4% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.83% (0.072000000000001 0.07)84.17% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.075000000000003 0.08)25.4% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.104 0.1)60.21% (-0.107 -0.11)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51% (0.044000000000004 0.04)49% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.04% (0.029999999999998 0.03)83.95% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 52.59%
    Congo DR 19.46%
    Draw 27.92%
MoroccoDrawCongo DR
1-0 @ 17.05% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.68%
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 52.59%
0-0 @ 12.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 19.46%

How you voted: Morocco vs Congo DR

Morocco
73.6%
Draw
11.1%
Congo DR
15.3%
72
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2022 8.30pm
Third Round 2nd Leg
Morocco
4-1
Congo DR
Ounahi (21', 54'), Tissoudali (45+7'), Hakimi (69')
Amrabat (25'), Boufal (90+3'), Amallah (90+4')
Malango (77')
Amale (58'), Kayembe (75'), Tisserand (79')
> Preview
Mar 25, 2022 3pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Congo DR
1-1
Morocco
Wissa (12')
Muzinga (30')
Muzinga (85')
Tissoudali (76')
Aguerd (15'), Mmaee (42')
> Preview
Oct 13, 2020 7pm
Friendlies 1
Morocco
1-1
Congo DR
Mazraoui (45')
Mendyl (90+1')
Wissa (60')
Luyindama (89')
Jan 16, 2017 7pm
Group Stage
Congo DR
1-0
Morocco
Kage (55')
N'Sakala (48'), Mutambala (74')
Mutambala (81')

da Costa (68')
rhs 2.0
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