Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
35.89% ( 0.94) | 26.24% ( 0.01) | 37.87% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 53.4% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.78% ( 0.05) | 51.21% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.94% ( 0.05) | 73.05% ( -0.05) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( 0.59) | 27.49% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% ( 0.76) | 62.99% ( -0.76) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( -0.5) | 26.35% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.51% ( -0.68) | 61.49% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |