Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nantes.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
48.15% ( 0.03) | 23.98% ( 0.1) | 27.88% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.83% ( -0.53) | 44.18% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.45% ( -0.52) | 66.55% ( 0.52) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.53% ( -0.19) | 18.48% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.33% ( -0.33) | 49.68% ( 0.34) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( -0.36) | 29.24% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% ( -0.44) | 65.2% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 27.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |