Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Auxerre2 - 1Nantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 Auxerre
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Auxerre 1-1 Nantes
A Nantes side who seldom travel well in Ligue 1 should experience an uncomfortable afternoon against a steadfast Auxerre defence, especially with so much still to play for, for both outfits. If last weekend is anything to go by, set-pieces could be Nantes' golden ticket and Achilles heel at the Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, where a closely-contested stalemate could be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Nantes |
41.47% ( -0.03) | 26.99% ( 0.01) | 31.55% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.97% ( -0.02) | 55.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.71% ( -0.01) | 76.29% ( 0.01) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.02) | 26.15% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.77% ( -0.03) | 61.23% ( 0.03) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.81% ( 0.01) | 32.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.33% ( 0.01) | 68.67% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Auxerre 41.47%
Nantes 31.55%
Draw 26.98%
| Auxerre | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.47% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.55% |
How you voted: Auxerre vs Nantes
Auxerre
26.9%Draw
50.0%Nantes
23.1%26
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 2pm
Dec 17, 2013 7.55pm
