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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
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Ligue 1
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Nantes

Auxerre
2 - 1
Nantes

Jubal (5' pen.), da Costa (43')
Zedadka (33'), Toure (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mohamed (55')
Victor (36'), Kombouare (76'), Pallois (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 Auxerre
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 1-1 Nantes

 A Nantes side who seldom travel well in Ligue 1 should experience an uncomfortable afternoon against a steadfast Auxerre defence, especially with so much still to play for, for both outfits. If last weekend is anything to go by, set-pieces could be Nantes' golden ticket and Achilles heel at the Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, where a closely-contested stalemate could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawNantes
41.47% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 26.99% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 31.55% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)55.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71% (-0.012 -0.01)76.29% (0.012 0.01)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)26.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)61.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.19% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (0.010000000000002 0.01)68.67% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 41.47%
    Nantes 31.55%
    Draw 26.98%
AuxerreDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.47%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.55%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Nantes

Auxerre
26.9%
Draw
50.0%
Nantes
23.1%
26
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 2pm
Nantes
1-0
Auxerre
Coco (74')

Mensah (21')
Dec 17, 2013 7.55pm
Fourth Round
Nantes
1-0
Auxerre
Aristeguieta (75')
Deaux (81')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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