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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Nantes

Montpellier
1 - 1
Nantes

Adams (2')
Savanier (24'), Tchato (45')
Mincarelli (90+1'), Nordin (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abline (7')
Sissoko (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Montpellier
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Rennes
Saturday, April 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Nantes

 Nantes' abysmal streak of home results and impressive endeavours on the road are most peculiar, and Les Canaris have also had the better of their hosts in recent times, but they now face a Montpellier side riding the crest of a wave. Ruing the absence of a key attacking cog in Simon, Nantes' purple patch away from home should count for little against the in-form Paillade, who have their own difference-maker in Teji Savanier capable of causing chaos against any opponent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
43.97% (0.33 0.33) 24.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 31.37% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 57.51% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.377 -0.38)45.36% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.3% (-0.363 -0.36)67.7% (0.366 0.37)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)20.71% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)53.33% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (-0.42699999999999 -0.43)27.45% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (-0.557 -0.56)62.94% (0.56 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 43.97%
    Nantes 31.37%
    Draw 24.66%
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.142 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.97%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Nantes

Montpellier HSC
81.8%
Draw
10.6%
Nantes
7.6%
66
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
Mollet (44'), Bamba (74')
Mollet (65'), Bamba (75')

Kouyate (90+2')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 36
Nantes
0-3
Montpellier

Merlin (20'), Moutoussamy (49'), Mollet (58'), Blas (77')
Ferri (38'), Nordin (47'), Sacko (88')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Montpellier
0-3
Nantes
Girotto (45+13'), Mohamed (81'), Blas (84')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 27
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
Kolo (69'), Geubbels (90+2')
Castelletto (30')

Ristic (79')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
2-0
Nantes
Mollet (64'), Wahi (71')
Savanier (37'), Sakho (42'), Ferri (90+2')

Appiah (35'), Traore (44'), Pallois (73'), Girotto (90'), Castelletto (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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