Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
43.97% ( 0.33) | 24.66% ( 0.05) | 31.37% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% ( -0.38) | 45.36% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.3% ( -0.36) | 67.7% ( 0.37) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.28% ( -0.01) | 20.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.67% ( -0.02) | 53.33% ( 0.02) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( -0.43) | 27.45% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.05% ( -0.56) | 62.94% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nantes |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |