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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 10, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 0
Modena

Napoli win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coppa Italia clash between Napoli and Modena, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-2 Girona
Saturday, August 3 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Modena 2-2 Cagliari
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Napoli 2-0 Modena

New-look Napoli have proved tough to score against in pre-season - perhaps no surprise given the identity of their new manager - and they should see off Modena's challenge this weekend. Mid-table finishers in Serie B last term, the visitors will not have enough guile to make the most of any rustiness in Antonio Conte's squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Modena has a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Modena win it is 0-1 (4.49%).

Result
NapoliDrawModena
65.34% (-0.14 -0.14) 19.86% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 14.8% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22%42.78% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)12.29% (0.039 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.93% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)38.06% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (0.131 0.13)41.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (0.117 0.12)77.85% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 65.33%
    Modena 14.8%
    Draw 19.86%
NapoliDrawModena
2-0 @ 11.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 65.33%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.08%
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 19.86%
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.16% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 14.8%

How you voted: Napoli vs Modena

Napoli
92.5%
Draw
7.5%
Modena
0.0%
40
rhs 2.0
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4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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