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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Lecce logo

Napoli
0 - 0
Lecce

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Lecce

 While you are inclined to back Napoli to record maximum points on their last game of a wretched year, this side have stunk for much of this season, winning just one in 10 in Serie A. Without a clean sheet since February and winless on home turf since early March, Lecce securing a point in Naples is a strong possibility on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
58.43% (0.169 0.17) 22.2% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 19.36% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.23% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (0.097999999999999 0.1)45.19% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (0.091000000000001 0.09)67.54% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85% (0.086999999999989 0.09)15.15% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.26% (0.168 0.17)43.74% (-0.172 -0.17)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (-0.064 -0.06)37.27% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.061 -0.06)74.05% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 58.42%
    Lecce 19.36%
    Draw 22.2%
NapoliDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 58.42%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 19.36%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
57.5%
Draw
30.1%
Lecce
12.3%
73
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Lecce
0-4
Napoli

Gallo (36'), Ramadani (57'), D'Aversa (67'), Gonzalez (81')
Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 29
Lecce
1-2
Napoli
Di Francesco (52')
Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Napoli
1-1
Lecce
Elmas (27')
Colombo (31')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313
> Serie A Full Table


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