Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 58.45%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.36%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.