Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
37.19% ( 1.23) | 22.64% ( 0.08) | 40.16% ( -1.31) |
Both teams to score 66.72% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.95% ( -0.22) | 34.04% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.08% ( -0.25) | 55.91% ( 0.25) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.03% ( 0.47) | 18.96% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.5% ( 0.79) | 50.49% ( -0.79) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.34% ( -0.64) | 17.66% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.72% ( -1.11) | 48.28% ( 1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.11% Total : 40.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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