Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.88%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
56.88% ( 0.28) | 20.62% ( -0.05) | 22.51% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 63.85% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.5% ( -0.04) | 33.5% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.7% ( -0.05) | 55.3% ( 0.05) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.21% ( 0.07) | 11.79% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63% ( 0.14) | 37% ( -0.13) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% ( -0.21) | 27.62% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.84% ( -0.27) | 63.16% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.88% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.59% Total : 22.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
3 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Macarthur | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
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