Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Jan 3, 2025 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nice3 - 2Rennes
We said: Nice 2-1 Rennes
Nice are the only team to have both attempted and faced more than 200 shots in Ligue 1 this season, ranking second for overall shots per match behind PSG. An open encounter could be on the cards, with Les Aiglons coming out on top against a Rennes side that does not travel well. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
39.22% ( 0.41) | 25.19% ( 0.02) | 35.59% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
