Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Rennes |
42.62% ( -0.07) | 26.35% ( 0.06) | 31.03% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.84% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% ( -0.22) | 52.68% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% ( -0.19) | 74.32% ( 0.19) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.5% ( -0.13) | 24.49% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.04% ( -0.19) | 58.95% ( 0.19) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% ( -0.1) | 31.34% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( -0.12) | 67.71% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |