Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Nice |
49.04% ( -0.67) | 23.51% ( 0.15) | 27.44% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 58.91% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.61% ( -0.31) | 42.38% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.2% ( -0.31) | 64.79% ( 0.3) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.55% ( -0.37) | 17.44% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.1% ( -0.64) | 47.9% ( 0.64) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% ( 0.22) | 28.63% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.56% ( 0.27) | 64.44% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Nice |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.87% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.51% Total : 27.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |