Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mewa Arena
Osijek1 - 1Zira FK
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Osijek and Zira FK.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osijek 1-2 Sibenik
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dunajska Streda 1-2 Zira FK
Thursday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 5 | 5.00 | Kulenovic |
| 2 | Rijeka | 4 | 4.00 | Butic |
| 3 | Hajduk Split | 2 | 2.00 | Livaja |
| 4 | Sibenik | 2 | 2.00 | Agyemang |
| 5 | Osijek | 1 | 1.00 | Soldo |
| 6 | Slaven Koprivnica | 1 | 1.00 | Sakota |
| 7 | Gorica | 0 | 0.00 | |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0.00 | |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva | 0 | 0.00 | |
| 10 | Varazdin | 0 | 0.00 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Zira FK had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Zira FK win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | Zira FK |
| 60.96% | 23.3% ( 0) | 15.74% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 43.22% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
