Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Partick Thistle in this match.