Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.