Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.77%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
23.9% ( -0.44) | 19.33% ( -0.16) | 56.77% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 70.83% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.63% ( 0.3) | 25.37% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.6% ( 0.39) | 45.4% ( -0.39) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% ( -0.12) | 21.94% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.78% ( -0.18) | 55.22% ( 0.18) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.74% ( 0.23) | 9.26% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.7% ( 0.55) | 31.29% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.33% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.12% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.47% Total : 56.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
4 | Macarthur | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 13 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 2 |
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