Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.