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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
55.6% ( 0.21) | 21.81% ( -0.06) | 22.59% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 59.58% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.87% ( 0.1) | 39.13% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.54% ( 0.1) | 61.45% ( -0.1) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% ( 0.1) | 14.01% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.45% ( 0.19) | 41.54% ( -0.19) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.29% ( -0.07) | 30.71% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.03% ( -0.09) | 66.96% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 22.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
4 | Barnsley | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
18 | Blackpool | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 12 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |