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League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Bolton logo

Peterborough
3 - 3
Bolton

Mothersille (50', 79'), Randall (67')
Randall (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dempsey (4'), Charles (8' pen.), Jerome (82')
Cogley (58'), Thomason (61'), Toal (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

While Peterborough will have one eye on the playoffs, Bolton will be fully focused on Saturday's away clash as they attempt to leapfrog Derby and secure automatic promotion. Although their fate may be out of their hands, we still expect the Trotters to do their job by claiming all three points against Peterborough. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
55.6% (0.209 0.21) 21.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 22.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87% (0.095999999999997 0.1)39.13% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.54% (0.1 0.1)61.45% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (0.096999999999994 0.1)14.01% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.188 0.19)41.54% (-0.188 -0.19)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)66.96% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 55.6%
    Bolton Wanderers 22.59%
    Draw 21.81%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 55.6%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Bolton

Peterborough United
16.7%
Draw
5.6%
Bolton Wanderers
77.8%
18
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bolton
1-1
Peterborough
Adeboyejo (43')
Iredale (4'), Evatt (5'), Cogley (39'), Dempsey (47'), Thomason (81')
Jones (45+3')
Clarke-Harris (42')
Kioso (39'), Collins (90+4')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Peterborough
0-5
Bolton
Santos (12', 77'), Charles (42' pen., 47', 51')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
1-0
Bolton
Toney (23')
Eisa (39')

Murphy (15'), Bridcutt (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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