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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
55.6% ( 0.21) | 21.81% ( -0.06) | 22.59% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 59.58% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.87% ( 0.1) | 39.13% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.54% ( 0.1) | 61.45% ( -0.1) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% ( 0.1) | 14.01% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.45% ( 0.19) | 41.54% ( -0.19) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.29% ( -0.07) | 30.71% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.03% ( -0.09) | 66.96% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 22.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |