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League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Bolton logo

Peterborough
3 - 3
Bolton

Mothersille (50', 79'), Randall (67')
Randall (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dempsey (4'), Charles (8' pen.), Jerome (82')
Cogley (58'), Thomason (61'), Toal (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

While Peterborough will have one eye on the playoffs, Bolton will be fully focused on Saturday's away clash as they attempt to leapfrog Derby and secure automatic promotion. Although their fate may be out of their hands, we still expect the Trotters to do their job by claiming all three points against Peterborough. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
55.6% (0.209 0.21) 21.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 22.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87% (0.095999999999997 0.1)39.13% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.54% (0.1 0.1)61.45% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (0.096999999999994 0.1)14.01% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.188 0.19)41.54% (-0.188 -0.19)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)66.96% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 55.6%
    Bolton Wanderers 22.59%
    Draw 21.81%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 55.6%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Bolton

Peterborough United
16.7%
Draw
5.6%
Bolton Wanderers
77.8%
18
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bolton
1-1
Peterborough
Adeboyejo (43')
Iredale (4'), Evatt (5'), Cogley (39'), Dempsey (47'), Thomason (81')
Jones (45+3')
Clarke-Harris (42')
Kioso (39'), Collins (90+4')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Peterborough
0-5
Bolton
Santos (12', 77'), Charles (42' pen., 47', 51')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
1-0
Bolton
Toney (23')
Eisa (39')

Murphy (15'), Bridcutt (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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