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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Bolton logo

Peterborough
3 - 3
Bolton

Mothersille (50', 79'), Randall (67')
Randall (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dempsey (4'), Charles (8' pen.), Jerome (82')
Cogley (58'), Thomason (61'), Toal (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

While Peterborough will have one eye on the playoffs, Bolton will be fully focused on Saturday's away clash as they attempt to leapfrog Derby and secure automatic promotion. Although their fate may be out of their hands, we still expect the Trotters to do their job by claiming all three points against Peterborough. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
55.6% (0.209 0.21) 21.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 22.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87% (0.095999999999997 0.1)39.13% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.54% (0.1 0.1)61.45% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (0.096999999999994 0.1)14.01% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.188 0.19)41.54% (-0.188 -0.19)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)66.96% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 55.6%
    Bolton Wanderers 22.59%
    Draw 21.81%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 55.6%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Bolton

Peterborough United
16.7%
Draw
5.6%
Bolton Wanderers
77.8%
18
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bolton
1-1
Peterborough
Adeboyejo (43')
Iredale (4'), Evatt (5'), Cogley (39'), Dempsey (47'), Thomason (81')
Jones (45+3')
Clarke-Harris (42')
Kioso (39'), Collins (90+4')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Peterborough
0-5
Bolton
Santos (12', 77'), Charles (42' pen., 47', 51')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
1-0
Bolton
Toney (23')
Eisa (39')

Murphy (15'), Bridcutt (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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