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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Peterborough United

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Peterborough


Thomas (45+2'), Hoole (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Randall (41'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Peterborough United

 This fixture has been dominated by Peterborough in recent seasons, winning 10 and losing just one of the previous 17 encounters between the two sides. With Bristol Rovers having little left to play for, sitting securely in mid-table, and the visitors battling for promotion, we believe Ferguson's side will come out victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPeterborough United
22.44% (-0.315 -0.32) 22.38% (-0.19 -0.19) 55.18% (0.508 0.51)
Both teams to score 57.37% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (0.495 0.5)41.96% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (0.495 0.5)64.37% (-0.492 -0.49)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.342 0.34)15.11% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (0.642 0.64)43.67% (-0.64 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 22.44%
    Peterborough United 55.18%
    Draw 22.37%
Bristol RoversDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.52% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 22.44%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 5.51% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.93% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.6% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.041 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.04 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.18%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough

Bristol Rovers
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Peterborough United
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Peterborough
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Collins (26'), Ajiboye (47')
Collins (15'), Jade-Jones (32'), Knight (54'), Kyprianou (62'), Ajiboye (77')

Evans (56'), Taylor (74')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Peterborough
Sinclair (53')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Peterborough
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Szmodics (20'), Mumba (63')
Norburn (79')
Coutts (30' pen.)
> Preview
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 26
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
Thompson (52'), Beevers (82')
Kilgour (83'), Ogogo (84'), Leahy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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