MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 01:32:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Bolton logo
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Port Vale

Bolton
2 - 0
Port Vale

Collins (72'), Jerome (90+3')
Maghoma (70'), Charles (70'), Toal (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garrity (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Port Vale

 Bolton head into this game as the clear favourites, boasting more than double Port Vale's points tally this season. The hosts have not lost in this fixture since a 6-3 defeat in December 2020, and we expect them to continue that unbeaten run with a victory here, in a must-win match for both sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 10.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPort Vale
73.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 16% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02) 10.35% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.05% (0.039000000000001 0.04)35.95% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.96% (0.044000000000004 0.04)58.04% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84% (0.043999999999997 0.04)29.16% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.87% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)80.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 73.64%
    Port Vale 10.35%
    Draw 16%
Bolton WanderersDrawPort Vale
2-0 @ 11.33%
3-0 @ 9.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 5.81% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.77% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 73.64%
1-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16%
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 10.35%

How you voted: Bolton vs Port Vale

Bolton Wanderers
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Port Vale
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Bolton
2-0
Port Vale
Charles (9'), Mendes Gomes (64')
Thomason (60')

Iacovitti (57')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Port Vale
0-1
Bolton

Iacovitti (3'), Balmer (45+1')
Charles (43')
Iredale (64'), Morley (68'), Sheehan (76')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bolton
2-1
Port Vale
Adeboyejo (18'), Sheehan (26')
Harrison (8')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Port Vale
0-0
Bolton
Forrester (45+2'), C (86')
Santos (10'), Williams (49')
Santos (37')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Bolton
3-2
Port Vale
Doyle (28'), Delfouneso (54'), Afolayan (77')
Delfouneso (67'), Santos (75'), Baptiste (81'), Brockbank (90')
Conlon (35'), Amoo (43')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!