Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.