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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Port Vale |
41.75% ( 0.03) | 27.12% ( -0.05) | 31.12% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.5% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.31% ( 0.17) | 55.69% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.16% ( 0.15) | 76.83% ( -0.14) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% ( 0.1) | 26.3% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.56% ( 0.13) | 61.43% ( -0.13) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( 0.1) | 32.83% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.6% ( 0.12) | 69.39% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.75% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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