Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.