Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.