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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Bristol City |
36.28% ( 0.52) | 25.9% ( -0.11) | 37.82% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.26% ( 0.51) | 49.74% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.25% ( 0.46) | 71.75% ( -0.46) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% ( 0.55) | 26.56% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% ( 0.72) | 61.77% ( -0.72) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.3% ( 0.01) | 25.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% ( 0.01) | 60.61% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 36.28% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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