Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.