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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Norwich City |
35.57% ( 1.27) | 24.75% ( 0.09) | 39.67% ( -1.36) |
Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.38% ( -0.19) | 44.62% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% ( -0.19) | 66.99% ( 0.19) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.43% ( 0.63) | 24.57% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.94% ( 0.88) | 59.06% ( -0.88) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( -0.75) | 22.42% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% ( -1.12) | 55.94% ( 1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
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