MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 20:40:02| >> :600:1290866:1290866:
Portsmouth
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Millwall logo

Portsmouth
0 - 1
Millwall


Whyte (45'), Lang (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esse (13')
Roberts (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Portsmouth and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Watford
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Millwall

Portsmouth may have struggled in recent meetings with Millwall, but they have progressed from the first round in the last two seasons, and we think that they will do enough to continue that run on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMillwall
52.9% (0.153 0.15) 24.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 22.4% (-0.166 -0.17)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (-0.221 -0.22)51.84% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (-0.19 -0.19)73.59% (0.193 0.19)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)19.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)51.47% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03% (-0.283 -0.28)37.96% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (-0.278 -0.28)74.73% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 52.89%
    Millwall 22.4%
    Draw 24.69%
PortsmouthDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.38% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 52.89%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 22.4%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Millwall

Portsmouth
61.4%
Draw
13.6%
Millwall
25.0%
44
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2012 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2011 1pm
Dec 26, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Millwall
Nugent (73')
Mokoena (2'), Rocha (65')
Trotter (26')
Trotter (43'), Dunne (71'), Barron (80')
Oct 19, 2010 3pm
Millwall
0-1
Portsmouth

Mkandawire (32'), Hackett (77'), Carter (90')
Lawrence (78' pen.)
Dickinson (5'), Kitson (85')
rhs 2.0
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