EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth0 - 1Millwall
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Watford
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Millwall
Portsmouth may have struggled in recent meetings with Millwall, but they have progressed from the first round in the last two seasons, and we think that they will do enough to continue that run on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Millwall |
52.9% ( 0.15) | 24.7% ( 0.02) | 22.4% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.22) | 51.84% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( -0.19) | 73.59% ( 0.19) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( -0.02) | 19.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.52% ( -0.04) | 51.47% ( 0.04) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.03% ( -0.28) | 37.96% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.26% ( -0.28) | 74.73% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Portsmouth 52.89%
Millwall 22.4%
Draw 24.69%
| Portsmouth | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.89% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.4% |
How you voted: Portsmouth vs Millwall
Portsmouth
61.4%Draw
13.6%Millwall
25.0%44
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Millwall
2-1
Portsmouth
Apr 10, 2012 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2011 1pm
Oct 19, 2010 3pm
Form Guide
