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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Watford logo

Millwall
2 - 3
Watford

Watmore (74', 88')
Leonard (55'), Kayembe (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kayembe (22'), Chakvetadze (55'), Rajovic (90')
Sierralta (7'), Bryan (87'), Rajovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Brentford
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Millwall 1-1 Watford

This has all the makings of being an extremely tight encounter with both sides avoiding defeat with regularity during last season's run-in. On that note, we can only back a low-scoring draw, a result that would satisfy the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).

Result
MillwallDrawWatford
30.19% (0.064 0.06) 27.11% (0.12 0.12) 42.7% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.05% (-0.427 -0.43)55.94% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.95% (-0.348 -0.35)77.04% (0.346 0.35)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)33.64% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.191 -0.19)70.29% (0.19 0.19)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.291 -0.29)25.92% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.393 -0.39)60.92% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 30.19%
    Watford 42.7%
    Draw 27.1%
MillwallDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.19%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.7%

How you voted: Millwall vs Watford

Millwall
66.7%
Draw
12.7%
Watford
20.6%
63
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
1-0
Watford
Flemming (3')
McNamara (45'), Leonard (75'), Flemming (90+1')

Kayembe (1')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Watford
2-2
Millwall
Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')
Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
0-2
Millwall
Voglsammer (22'), Flemming (83')
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
3-0
Watford
Bradshaw (8', 26', 33')
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
0-0
Watford
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Bristol City216962626027
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
23Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317


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