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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Watford |
30.19% ( 0.06) | 27.11% ( 0.12) | 42.7% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 49.15% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.05% ( -0.43) | 55.94% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.95% ( -0.35) | 77.04% ( 0.35) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.36% ( -0.17) | 33.64% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.71% ( -0.19) | 70.29% ( 0.19) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( -0.29) | 25.92% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% ( -0.39) | 60.92% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.19% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
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