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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Watford logo

Millwall
2 - 3
Watford

Watmore (74', 88')
Leonard (55'), Kayembe (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kayembe (22'), Chakvetadze (55'), Rajovic (90')
Sierralta (7'), Bryan (87'), Rajovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Brentford
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Millwall 1-1 Watford

This has all the makings of being an extremely tight encounter with both sides avoiding defeat with regularity during last season's run-in. On that note, we can only back a low-scoring draw, a result that would satisfy the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).

Result
MillwallDrawWatford
30.19% (0.064 0.06) 27.11% (0.12 0.12) 42.7% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.05% (-0.427 -0.43)55.94% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.95% (-0.348 -0.35)77.04% (0.346 0.35)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)33.64% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.191 -0.19)70.29% (0.19 0.19)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.291 -0.29)25.92% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.393 -0.39)60.92% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 30.19%
    Watford 42.7%
    Draw 27.1%
MillwallDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.19%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.7%

How you voted: Millwall vs Watford

Millwall
66.7%
Draw
12.7%
Watford
20.6%
63
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
1-0
Watford
Flemming (3')
McNamara (45'), Leonard (75'), Flemming (90+1')

Kayembe (1')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Watford
2-2
Millwall
Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')
Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
0-2
Millwall
Voglsammer (22'), Flemming (83')
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
3-0
Watford
Bradshaw (8', 26', 33')
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
0-0
Watford
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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