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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Fratton Park
Oxford United

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

O'Mahony (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sibley (72')
Kioso (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United

Portsmouth will be desperate to claim their first win of the season before the international break, but we think that the hosts will have to settle for a draw against an Oxford side who have seen their last two matches finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
40.72% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 24.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 34.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 58.02% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.061 -0.06)45.17% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.52% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.02000000000001 0.02)22.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)55.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.47% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (-0.125 -0.13)60.31% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 40.72%
    Oxford United 34.45%
    Draw 24.83%
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.45%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Oxford Utd

Portsmouth
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Oxford United
37.5%
32
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Portsmouth
2-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (2'), Saydee (67')
Lang (28'), Ogilvie (65'), Kamara (81'), Bishop (86')
Brannagan (6' pen.)
Harris (30'), Rodrigues (42'), Henry (90+5')
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
2-2
Portsmouth
Goodrham (45'), Henry (90')
Buckingham (59')
Bishop (69'), Lang (80')
Bishop (58'), Peart-Harris (81')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Oxford Utd
1-1
Portsmouth
Long (37')
Pack (26')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Portsmouth
3-2
Oxford Utd
Raggett (42'), Hirst (45+2'), Carter (58')
Carter (74')
Browne (3'), McNally (81')
Long (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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