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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Werder Bremen logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Sesko (61')
Henrichs (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Seiwald (35' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Werder Bremen

Leipzig have conceded one goal in their last six Bundesliga games at Red Bull Arena, scored by Dortmund's Jadon Sancho at the backend of April, a game the Red Bulls won 4-1. Despite securing Champions League football, Rose should expect his in-form side to claim maximum points to continue their unbeaten results since losing to Bayern in February. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 79.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
79.36% (-0.14 -0.14) 12.79% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 7.86% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.96% (-0.161 -0.16)28.05% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.2% (-0.2 -0.2)48.8% (0.197 0.2)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.48% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)5.52% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.48% (-0.161 -0.16)21.52% (0.157 0.16)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.56% (0.017000000000003 0.02)43.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)79.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 79.36%
    Werder Bremen 7.86%
    Draw 12.79%
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 7.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 4.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 79.36%
1-1 @ 5.79% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 12.79%
1-2 @ 2.42% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 2% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 7.86%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig
81.7%
Draw
13.3%
Werder Bremen
5.0%
60
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Werder Bremen
1-1
RB Leipzig
Njinmah (75')
Gross (59'), Bittencourt (66'), Njinmah (84'), Ducksch (90+1')
Openda (47')
Kampl (68'), Haidara (90+1')
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Gross (57')
Silva (13'), Schlager (71')
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Bittencourt (105+1')
Hee-chan (93'), Forsberg (120+1')
Haidara (35'), Kampl (99'), Gulacsi (101')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-4
RB Leipzig
Rashica (61' pen.)
Olmo (23'), Sorloth (32', 41'), Sabitzer (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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