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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.36%) and 1-0 (4.75%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
43.31% ( 6.43) | 21.44% ( -0.88) | 35.25% ( -5.56) |
Both teams to score 71.14% ( 3.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.81% ( 4.18) | 28.18% ( -4.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.03% ( 5.02) | 48.97% ( -5.02) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.94% ( 4.31) | 14.06% ( -4.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.36% ( 7.85) | 41.64% ( -7.85) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% ( -0.52) | 17.22% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.5% ( -0.92) | 47.5% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.91) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.56) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.74) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.62) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.44) 4-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.39) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.34) Other @ 2.86% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.95) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.65) Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.98) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.66) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -1.23) 2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -1.17) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.73) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.33) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.35) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 29 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
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