Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
23.82% ( 0.1) | 21.65% ( -0.02) | 54.53% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.8% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.07% ( 0.19) | 36.93% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.89% ( 0.21) | 59.11% ( -0.2) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% ( 0.18) | 28.47% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% ( 0.23) | 64.24% ( -0.22) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% ( 0.05) | 13.6% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.27% ( 0.09) | 40.74% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 23.82% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |