MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 19:52:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Leipzig logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kramaric (90')
Kabak (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sesko (38')
Simons (55'), Raum (86')
Simons (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 RB Leipzig

Friday's game has the potential to be high-scoring, with Hoffenheim failing to keep a clean sheet in 26 league matches and Leipzig conceding in 12 consecutive road games in the Bundesliga. Leipzig are backed to continue their fine form in a match they enter as favourites, having defeated Hoffenheim in five straight matches in all competitions, losing once in 13 previous games against Die Kraichgauer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.24%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
29.14% (0.571 0.57) 19.88% (-0.312 -0.31) 50.98% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 74.08% (1.71 1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.72% (1.981 1.98)23.27% (-1.984 -1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.37% (2.624 2.62)42.63% (-2.626 -2.63)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (1.345 1.35)17.71% (-1.348 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (2.279 2.28)48.36% (-2.281 -2.28)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.614 0.61)9.97% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.402 1.4)32.95% (-1.405 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 29.14%
    RB Leipzig 50.98%
    Draw 19.88%
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 3.06% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.097 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.35% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 29.14%
1-1 @ 7.05% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 7.03% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 3.12% (0.227 0.23)
0-0 @ 1.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 5.4% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.394 -0.39)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 3.6% (0.055 0.06)
2-4 @ 3.12% (0.178 0.18)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-4 @ 1.8% (0.175 0.18)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.068 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.44% (0.117 0.12)
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 50.98%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig

Hoffenheim
8.7%
Draw
10.7%
RB Leipzig
80.5%
149
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Klostermann (34'), Forsberg (70'), Simakan (74')
Haidara (40'), Simons (62'), Klostermann (81')
Kabak (42')
Kabak (62'), Grillitsch (90+5')
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Forsberg (8'), Laimer (41'), Werner (83')
Dolberg (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Hoffenheim
1-3
RB Leipzig
Rutter (50')
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Hoffenheim
Nkunku (5'), Halstenberg (20'), Szoboszlai (44')
Mukiele (76')

Kaderabek (71'), Richards (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!