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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
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Hoffenheim
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kramaric (90')
Kabak (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sesko (38')
Simons (55'), Raum (86')
Simons (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 RB Leipzig

 Friday's game has the potential to be high-scoring, with Hoffenheim failing to keep a clean sheet in 26 league matches and Leipzig conceding in 12 consecutive road games in the Bundesliga. Leipzig are backed to continue their fine form in a match they enter as favourites, having defeated Hoffenheim in five straight matches in all competitions, losing once in 13 previous games against Die Kraichgauer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.24%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
29.14% (0.571 0.57) 19.88% (-0.312 -0.31) 50.98% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 74.08% (1.71 1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.72% (1.981 1.98)23.27% (-1.984 -1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.37% (2.624 2.62)42.63% (-2.626 -2.63)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (1.345 1.35)17.71% (-1.348 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (2.279 2.28)48.36% (-2.281 -2.28)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.614 0.61)9.97% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.402 1.4)32.95% (-1.405 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 29.14%
    RB Leipzig 50.98%
    Draw 19.88%
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 3.06% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.097 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.35% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 29.14%
1-1 @ 7.05% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 7.03% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 3.12% (0.227 0.23)
0-0 @ 1.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 5.4% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.394 -0.39)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 3.6% (0.055 0.06)
2-4 @ 3.12% (0.178 0.18)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-4 @ 1.8% (0.175 0.18)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.068 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.44% (0.117 0.12)
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 50.98%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig

Hoffenheim
8.7%
Draw
10.7%
RB Leipzig
80.5%
149
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Klostermann (34'), Forsberg (70'), Simakan (74')
Haidara (40'), Simons (62'), Klostermann (81')
Kabak (42')
Kabak (62'), Grillitsch (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
RB Leipzig
1-0
Hoffenheim
Nkunku (28')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Forsberg (8'), Laimer (41'), Werner (83')
Dolberg (76')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Hoffenheim
1-3
RB Leipzig
Rutter (50')
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Hoffenheim
Nkunku (5'), Halstenberg (20'), Szoboszlai (44')
Mukiele (76')

Kaderabek (71'), Richards (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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