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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 0
Colo-Colo

Colidio (16')
Acuna (54'), Armani (71'), Fernandez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Palacios (44'), Vidal (54'), Paiva (90+2'), Amor (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Colo-Colo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Colo-Colo

All competitions
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-1 River Plate
Wednesday, September 18 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: River Plate 2-1 Colo-Colo (River Plate advances 3-2 on aggregate)

 River Plate will go into this clash on an 11-game unbeaten run at home in all competitions, and they have never lost a home game to Colo-Colo, which is why we expect the hosts to extend their home dominance on Wednesday, picking up a win to advance to the semi-final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawColo-Colo
59.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 21.27% (0.0020000000000024 0) 18.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)41.81% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)64.22% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)13.58% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.3% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)40.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)35.84% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0)72.62% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 59.87%
    Colo-Colo 18.85%
    Draw 21.27%
River PlateDrawColo-Colo
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 59.87%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 5.12%
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: River Plate vs Colo-Colo

River Plate
90.5%
Draw
4.8%
Colo-Colo
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2024 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Colo-Colo
1-1
River Plate
Palacios (61')
Saldivia (34'), Wiemberg (69'), Cortes (76'), Falcon (89'), Castellani (90+7')
Falcon (90')
Pezzella (43')
Armani (38'), Borja (73'), Diaz (89')
Diaz (90')
> Preview
Nov 15, 2023 11pm
Club Friendlies
Colo-Colo
2-2
River Plate
Benegas (22' pen.), Hernandez (89')
Gil (45+1'), Bouzat (79')
Leiva (82'), Martinez (90+2')
Nov 9, 2022 11.30pm
Club Friendlies
Colo-Colo
3-4
River Plate
Diaz (30' og.), Amor (32'), Pavez (33')
Borja (9', 57'), Solari (12', 55')
May 20, 2022 1am
Group Stage
River Plate
4-0
Colo-Colo
Palavecino (42'), De la Cruz (52'), Martinez (66'), Barco (68')

Opazo (61')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2022 1am
Group Stage
Colo-Colo
1-2
River Plate
Fuentes (62'), Costa (82')
Casco (19'), Perez (57'), Barco (80')
rhs 2.0
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