Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Estrela Amadora
64.77%	20.55%	14.68%

Both teams to score 48.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.95%

46.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.64%

68.36%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.54%

13.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.55%

40.45%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.48%

43.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.27%

79.73%

Score Analysis

Roma 64.77%

Estrela Amadora 14.68%

Draw 20.55%

Roma	Draw	Estrela Amadora
2-0 @ 11.78% 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 6.55% 4-0 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.73% 5-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.79% Total : 64.77%	1-1 @ 9.77% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.55%	0-1 @ 4.87% 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.13% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.46% Total : 14.68%